OVERVIEW + STUDY DETAILS

Follow the evidence.

Start with the finding and its limits.
Open the study details to look closer.

Controlled study

Sleep extension and energy intake: the Tasali trial

In Tasali's trial involving 80 adults with overweight and short sleep, two weeks of sleep extension produced a −270 kcal/day difference in the change in estimated energy intake relative to control (95% CI −393 to −147).

In the same trial, the difference in sleep duration was 1.2 hours per night in favor of the intervention (95% CI 1.0–1.4).

Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Evidence design
Randomized parallel clinical trial
Population and methods
Original extraction in Portuguese is available in the study details.
Assessment period
Two intervention weeks following two baseline weeks
Reported units
kcal/day; hours/night

Keep in view

  • 80 adults aged 21–40 with overweight and habitual sleep shorter than 6.5 hours; single center.
  • Two intervention weeks do not establish sustained weight-loss maintenance.
  • Intake was estimated from energy balance, not measured by directly counting food.
See study details — Sleep extension trial

Study design and methods

Randomized parallel clinical trial

Original extraction (Portuguese)

População

Adultos de 21–40 anos, IMC 25,0–29,9 kg/m² e sono habitual inferior a 6,5 h/noite.

Study design
Ensaio randomizado de centro único; duas semanas basais e duas semanas de intervenção em ambiente habitual; análise por intenção de tratar.
Reported sample count
80
Role of the reported sample count
Reported study sample; not necessarily the denominator for each outcome
Included study count
1
Role of the study count
Single study
Research question
Ampliar o sono reduz ingestão energética objetivamente estimada em adultos com sobrepeso e sono curto?
Qualified findings
O aconselhamento para estender o sono aumentou sua duração e reduziu a ingestão estimada frente ao controle. O gasto total não diferiu significativamente. O resultado é de duas semanas; não demonstra manutenção do emagrecimento.
Estimand and analysis rules
Not reported or not verified
Reason the formal estimand is unavailable
A complete formal estimand was not extracted from the verified input.

Extracted outcomes

Reported values, analysis populations and uncertainty, preserved from the curated extraction.
Outcome and groupReported valueAssessment periodSample and denominatorsUncertainty
Sleep duration

Sleep extension minus control

Effect estimate

1.2 hours/night

reported between-group change difference

Unit: hours/night

Two intervention weeks following two baseline weeks

Reported N: 80 — total randomized trial sample; not a group denominator

  • 80 — randomized total; scope: trial

95% confidence interval: 1 to 1.4

Reported p-value: <0.001 (Between-group comparison)

Estimated energy intake

Sleep extension minus control

Effect estimate

-270 kcal/day

reported between-group change difference

Unit: kcal/day

Two intervention weeks following two baseline weeks

Reported N: 80 — total randomized trial sample; not a group denominator

  • 80 — randomized total; scope: trial

95% confidence interval: -393 to -147

Reported p-value: <0.001 (Between-group comparison)

Sleep duration — Sleep extension minus control: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
intervention_vs_control_change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis population
Intention-to-treat, as described in the verified input
formal estimand not extracted
Yes
Extraction location
Original article abstract; intervention duration checked in PMC full text
  • N=80 is the trial total; arm sizes and effect-specific N were not extracted.
Estimated energy intake — Sleep extension minus control: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
intervention_vs_control_change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis population
Intention-to-treat, as described in the verified input
formal estimand not extracted
Yes
Extraction location
Original article abstract; intervention duration checked in PMC full text
  • N=80 is the trial total; arm sizes and effect-specific N were not extracted.

What the curated evidence supports

  • In Tasali's trial involving 80 adults with overweight and short sleep, two weeks of sleep extension produced a −270 kcal/day difference in the change in estimated energy intake relative to control (95% CI −393 to −147).
  • In the same trial, the difference in sleep duration was 1.2 hours per night in favor of the intervention (95% CI 1.0–1.4).
  • Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Limitations

  • 80 adults aged 21–40 with overweight and habitual sleep shorter than 6.5 hours; single center.
  • Two intervention weeks do not establish sustained weight-loss maintenance.
  • Intake was estimated from energy balance, not measured by directly counting food.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
selected_fields_only
full text verified fields
  • intervention_duration
  • pmcid_linkage
Official trial registry consulted
No
Statistical analysis plan consulted
No
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the input's identified abstract/full-text fields. A trial identifier linked by an article does not imply a separate registry review.

Source record

Effect of Sleep Extension on Objectively Assessed Energy Intake Among Adults With Overweight in Real-life Settings: A Randomized Clinical Trial (2022)

Controlled study

STEP 1: weight change at 68 weeks

In STEP 1, mean weight change was −14.9% with semaglutide and −2.4% with placebo at 68 weeks; the published adjusted difference was −12.4 percentage points (95% CI −13.4 to −11.5).

The STEP 1 abstract reports discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events in 59 participants (4.5%) receiving semaglutide and five (0.8%) receiving placebo.

Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Evidence design
Randomized comparison
Population
Adults without diabetes with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related coexisting condition; lifestyle intervention in both groups.
Assessment period
Baseline to week 68; During the trial; precise safety window not verified
Reported units
percentage points; % change; %

Keep in view

  • The result concerns 68 weeks of treatment; it does not establish maintenance after withdrawal.
  • The published adjusted difference is −12.4 pp and must not be replaced by subtraction of rounded arm means.
See study details — STEP 1

Study design and methods

Randomized comparison

Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial; allocation 2:1; 68 weeks; phase 3.

Population

Adults without diabetes with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related coexisting condition; lifestyle intervention in both groups.

Outcome definition
Percent change in body weight from baseline
Assessment period
Value
68
Unit
weeks
Reported statistic
Mean
Unit
% change from baseline
Randomized participants
1961
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Analysis population
FAS consists of all randomized participants (1306 semaglutide; 655 placebo).

Extracted outcomes

Reported values, analysis populations and uncertainty, preserved from the curated extraction.
Outcome and groupReported valueAssessment periodSample and denominatorsUncertainty
Percent change in body weight

Semaglutide

Effect estimate

-14.9 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 68

Study weeks 0–68

Reported N: 1306 — full analysis population

  • 1961 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 1306 — randomized group; scope: Semaglutide

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in body weight

Placebo

Effect estimate

-2.4 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 68

Study weeks 0–68

Reported N: 655 — full analysis population

  • 1961 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 655 — randomized group; scope: Placebo

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in body weight

Semaglutide minus placebo

Effect estimate

-12.4 percentage points

adjusted mean difference

Unit: percentage points

Baseline to week 68

Study weeks 0–68

Reported N: 1961 — combined full analysis population

  • 1961 — randomized total; scope: entire trial

95% confidence interval: -13.4 to -11.5

Reported p-value: <0.001 (Between-group comparison)

Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events

Semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

4.5 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 59

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 1306 — randomized arm context only; scope: Semaglutide

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events

Placebo

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

0.8 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 5

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 655 — randomized arm context only; scope: Placebo

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Percent change in body weight — Semaglutide: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Semaglutide minus placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
Difference in percent change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-policy primary estimand
Definition
Treatment effect assessed regardless of treatment discontinuation or rescue interventions, as described in the primary publication abstract.
Extraction location
Published comparison; SURMOUNT-5 contrast CI verified in official registry
  • Reported difference; not recomputed from rounded arm means.
Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events — Semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.
Discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.

What the curated evidence supports

  • In STEP 1, mean weight change was −14.9% with semaglutide and −2.4% with placebo at 68 weeks; the published adjusted difference was −12.4 percentage points (95% CI −13.4 to −11.5).
  • The STEP 1 abstract reports discontinuation due to gastrointestinal events in 59 participants (4.5%) receiving semaglutide and five (0.8%) receiving placebo.
  • Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Limitations

  • The result concerns 68 weeks of treatment; it does not establish maintenance after withdrawal.
  • The published adjusted difference is −12.4 pp and must not be replaced by subtraction of rounded arm means.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
Not consulted
Official trial registry consulted
Yes
Statistical analysis plan consulted
No
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the specific fields and sources consulted; it is not a full systematic appraisal or GRADE rating.

Source record

Once-Weekly Semaglutide in Adults with Overweight or Obesity (2021). The New England journal of medicine.

Controlled study

SURMOUNT-1: weight change at 72 weeks

In SURMOUNT-1, mean weight changes at 72 weeks were −15.0%, −19.5% and −20.9% with tirzepatide 5, 10 and 15 mg, and −3.1% with placebo, under the treatment-regimen estimand.

The SURMOUNT-1 abstract reports adverse-event discontinuation in 4.3%, 7.1% and 6.2% of the 5, 10 and 15 mg groups, and 2.6% of the placebo group.

Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Evidence design
Randomized comparison
Population
Adults without diabetes with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or BMI >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related complication.
Assessment period
Baseline to week 72; During the trial; precise safety window not verified
Reported units
% change; %

Keep in view

  • These article results use the treatment-regimen estimand; current registry results include an analysis with a different discontinuation rule.
  • Arm sizes were verified by group titles, not by array position in the registry.
See study details — SURMOUNT-1

Study design and methods

Randomized comparison

Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial; four parallel groups allocated 1:1:1:1; 72 weeks; phase 3.

Population

Adults without diabetes with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or BMI >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related complication.

Outcome definition
Percent change in body weight from baseline
Assessment period
Value
72
Unit
weeks
Reported statistic
Mean
Unit
% change from baseline
Randomized participants
2539
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Effects regardless of treatment discontinuation in the intention-to-treat population, according to the primary article abstract.
Registry analysis distinction
The current registry primary-outcome results specify data excluding observations after prematurely stopping study drug and use outcome-specific analyzed denominators. They must not be relabeled as the publication treatment-regimen values. Here, arm sample sizes are randomized counts from the participant-flow module, mapped by explicit group titles.

Extracted outcomes

Reported values, analysis populations and uncertainty, preserved from the curated extraction.
Outcome and groupReported valueAssessment periodSample and denominatorsUncertainty
Percent change in body weight

Tirzepatide 5 mg

Effect estimate

-15 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 630 — intention-to-treat population

  • 2539 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 630 — randomized group; scope: tirzepatide 5mg

95% confidence interval: -15.9 to -14.2

Percent change in body weight

Tirzepatide 10 mg

Effect estimate

-19.5 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 636 — intention-to-treat population

  • 2539 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 636 — randomized group; scope: tirzepatide 10mg

95% confidence interval: -20.4 to -18.5

Percent change in body weight

Tirzepatide 15 mg

Effect estimate

-20.9 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 630 — intention-to-treat population

  • 2539 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 630 — randomized group; scope: tirzepatide 15mg

95% confidence interval: -21.8 to -19.9

Percent change in body weight

Placebo

Effect estimate

-3.1 % change

Mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 643 — intention-to-treat population

  • 2539 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 643 — randomized group; scope: Placebo

95% confidence interval: -4.3 to -1.9

Discontinuation due to adverse events

Tirzepatide 5 mg weekly

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

4.3 %

reported event percentage

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 630 — randomized arm context only; scope: tirzepatide 5mg

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Discontinuation due to adverse events

Tirzepatide 10 mg weekly

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

7.1 %

reported event percentage

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 636 — randomized arm context only; scope: tirzepatide 10mg

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Discontinuation due to adverse events

Tirzepatide 15 mg weekly

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

6.2 %

reported event percentage

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 630 — randomized arm context only; scope: tirzepatide 15mg

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Discontinuation due to adverse events

Placebo

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

2.6 %

reported event percentage

Unit: %

During the trial; precise safety window not verified

Reported N: Not reported or not verified — outcome-specific denominator not verified

  • 643 — randomized arm context only; scope: Placebo

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Percent change in body weight — Tirzepatide 5 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Effects regardless of treatment discontinuation in the intention-to-treat population, according to the primary article abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Tirzepatide 10 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Effects regardless of treatment discontinuation in the intention-to-treat population, according to the primary article abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Tirzepatide 15 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Effects regardless of treatment discontinuation in the intention-to-treat population, according to the primary article abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Effects regardless of treatment discontinuation in the intention-to-treat population, according to the primary article abstract.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Discontinuation due to adverse events — Tirzepatide 5 mg weekly: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.
Discontinuation due to adverse events — Tirzepatide 10 mg weekly: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.
Discontinuation due to adverse events — Tirzepatide 15 mg weekly: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.
Discontinuation due to adverse events — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
Original article abstract, safety results
  • The safety denominator was not inferred from the randomized arm size.

What the curated evidence supports

  • In SURMOUNT-1, mean weight changes at 72 weeks were −15.0%, −19.5% and −20.9% with tirzepatide 5, 10 and 15 mg, and −3.1% with placebo, under the treatment-regimen estimand.
  • The SURMOUNT-1 abstract reports adverse-event discontinuation in 4.3%, 7.1% and 6.2% of the 5, 10 and 15 mg groups, and 2.6% of the placebo group.
  • Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Limitations

  • These article results use the treatment-regimen estimand; current registry results include an analysis with a different discontinuation rule.
  • Arm sizes were verified by group titles, not by array position in the registry.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
Not consulted
Official trial registry consulted
Yes
Statistical analysis plan consulted
No
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the specific fields and sources consulted; it is not a full systematic appraisal or GRADE rating.

Source record

Tirzepatide Once Weekly for the Treatment of Obesity (2022). The New England journal of medicine.

Controlled study

SURMOUNT-4: continuation or withdrawal after a 36-week tirzepatide lead-in

After a 36-week tirzepatide lead-in, 670 participants were randomized. Over the next 52 weeks, weight change from randomization was −5.5% with continued tirzepatide and +14.0% after switching to placebo; adjusted difference −19.4 percentage points (95% CI −21.2 to −17.7).

During the SURMOUNT-4 randomized phase and safety follow-up, serious adverse events occurred in 10 of 335 participants in each group. Adverse-event discontinuation was 1.8% with continued tirzepatide and 0.9% with placebo.

Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Evidence design
Randomized withdrawal comparison
Population
Adults aged >=18 years with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or >=27 kg/m2 with a weight-related complication, without diabetes; randomized population had completed 36-week lead-in and achieved a tolerated tirzepatide dose of 10 or 15 mg. Lifestyle counseling continued in both randomized groups.
Assessment period
Randomization at week 36 to week 88; Weeks 36–88 and safety follow-up
Reported units
% change; percentage points; %

Keep in view

  • The percentage reference is body weight at week 36, not initial week-zero weight.
  • The randomized population was selected after reaching a tolerated dose: 670 of 783 lead-in enrollees.
  • A 14% increase relative to week-36 weight does not mean regaining 14% of the weight previously lost.
  • This does not evaluate gradual tapering, other maintenance strategies or individual treatment decisions.
See study details — SURMOUNT-4

Study design and methods

Randomized withdrawal comparison

Phase 3 trial: 36-week open-label tirzepatide lead-in, followed by 52-week randomized 1:1 double-blind placebo-controlled withdrawal phase.

Population

Adults aged >=18 years with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or >=27 kg/m2 with a weight-related complication, without diabetes; randomized population had completed 36-week lead-in and achieved a tolerated tirzepatide dose of 10 or 15 mg. Lifestyle counseling continued in both randomized groups.

Outcome definition
Percent change in body weight from randomization at week 36 to week 88
Assessment period
Value
52
Unit
weeks
Starting study week
36
Ending study week
88
Time reference
randomization after open-label lead-in
Reported statistic
least-squares mean
Unit
% change from randomization
Open-label lead-in enrollees
783
Lead-in participants who received at least one dose
782
Randomized participants
670
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Mean treatment effect for all randomized participants regardless of adherence, using the full analysis set.
Statistical analysis
ANCOVA for continuous endpoints; Figure 2 describes hybrid imputation. Detailed imputation beyond the published Methods was not reverified from the supplement.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand excludes post-discontinuation data and uses MMRM. Registry values -6.7% versus +14.8% and difference -21.4 pp belong to this different analysis and are not mixed into this primary card.

Extracted outcomes

Reported values, analysis populations and uncertainty, preserved from the curated extraction.
Outcome and groupReported valueAssessment periodSample and denominatorsUncertainty
Percent change in weight from week 36 to week 88

Continued tirzepatide

Effect estimate

-5.5 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Randomization at week 36 to week 88

Study weeks 36–88

Reported N: 335 — randomized full analysis population

  • 783 — lead in enrolled; scope: open label phase
  • 782 — lead in received at least one dose; scope: open label phase
  • 670 — randomized total; scope: withdrawal phase
  • 335 — randomized full analysis arm; scope: continued tirzepatide

95% confidence interval: -6.8 to -4.2

Percent change in weight from week 36 to week 88

Switch to placebo at week 36

Effect estimate

14 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Randomization at week 36 to week 88

Study weeks 36–88

Reported N: 335 — randomized full analysis population

  • 783 — lead in enrolled; scope: open label phase
  • 782 — lead in received at least one dose; scope: open label phase
  • 670 — randomized total; scope: withdrawal phase
  • 335 — randomized full analysis arm; scope: switch to placebo

95% confidence interval: 12.8 to 15.2

Percent change in weight from week 36 to week 88

Continue tirzepatide minus switch to placebo

Effect estimate

-19.4 percentage points

adjusted mean difference

Unit: percentage points

Randomization at week 36 to week 88

Study weeks 36–88

Reported N: 670 — combined randomized full analysis population

  • 783 — lead in enrolled; scope: open label phase
  • 782 — lead in received at least one dose; scope: open label phase
  • 670 — randomized total; scope: withdrawal phase

95% confidence interval: -21.2 to -17.7

Reported p-value: <0.001 (Between-group comparison)

Participants with a serious adverse event

Continued tirzepatide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

3 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 10

Unit: %

Weeks 36–88 and safety follow-up

Reported N: 335 — safety analysis population

  • 335 — safety group; scope: continued tirzepatide

Event-frequency confidence interval not verified.

Participants with a serious adverse event

Switch to placebo at week 36

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

3 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 10

Unit: %

Weeks 36–88 and safety follow-up

Reported N: 335 — safety analysis population

  • 335 — safety group; scope: switch to placebo

Event-frequency confidence interval not verified.

Discontinuation due to adverse events

Continued tirzepatide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

1.8 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 6

Unit: %

Weeks 36–88 and safety follow-up

Reported N: 335 — safety analysis population

  • 335 — safety group; scope: continued tirzepatide

Event-frequency confidence interval not verified.

Discontinuation due to adverse events

Switch to placebo at week 36

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

0.9 %

reported event percentage

Exact numerator: 3

Unit: %

Weeks 36–88 and safety follow-up

Reported N: 335 — safety analysis population

  • 335 — safety group; scope: switch to placebo

Event-frequency confidence interval not verified.

Percent change in weight from week 36 to week 88 — Continued tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
week_36_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Mean treatment effect for all randomized participants regardless of adherence, using the full analysis set.
Statistical analysis
ANCOVA for continuous endpoints; Figure 2 describes hybrid imputation. Detailed imputation beyond the published Methods was not reverified from the supplement.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand excludes post-discontinuation data and uses MMRM. Registry values -6.7% versus +14.8% and difference -21.4 pp belong to this different analysis and are not mixed into this primary card.
Extraction location
JAMA Table 2 (treatment-regimen estimand)
Percent change in weight from week 36 to week 88 — Switch to placebo at week 36: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
week_36_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Mean treatment effect for all randomized participants regardless of adherence, using the full analysis set.
Statistical analysis
ANCOVA for continuous endpoints; Figure 2 describes hybrid imputation. Detailed imputation beyond the published Methods was not reverified from the supplement.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand excludes post-discontinuation data and uses MMRM. Registry values -6.7% versus +14.8% and difference -21.4 pp belong to this different analysis and are not mixed into this primary card.
Extraction location
JAMA Table 2 (treatment-regimen estimand)
Percent change in weight from week 36 to week 88 — Continue tirzepatide minus switch to placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
difference_in_percent_change_from_week_36
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
treatment-regimen estimand
Definition
Mean treatment effect for all randomized participants regardless of adherence, using the full analysis set.
Statistical analysis
ANCOVA for continuous endpoints; Figure 2 describes hybrid imputation. Detailed imputation beyond the published Methods was not reverified from the supplement.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand excludes post-discontinuation data and uses MMRM. Registry values -6.7% versus +14.8% and difference -21.4 pp belong to this different analysis and are not mixed into this primary card.
Extraction location
JAMA Table 2; reported adjusted contrast
  • Published difference −19.4 pp; do not replace it with −19.5 from rounded arm means.
Participants with a serious adverse event — Continued tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
JAMA Table 3
  • Safety after lead-in selection; it does not describe everyone starting tirzepatide.
Participants with a serious adverse event — Switch to placebo at week 36: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
JAMA Table 3
  • Safety after lead-in selection; it does not describe everyone starting tirzepatide.
Discontinuation due to adverse events — Continued tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
JAMA Table 3
  • Safety after lead-in selection; it does not describe everyone starting tirzepatide.
Discontinuation due to adverse events — Switch to placebo at week 36: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
JAMA Table 3
  • Safety after lead-in selection; it does not describe everyone starting tirzepatide.

What the curated evidence supports

  • After a 36-week tirzepatide lead-in, 670 participants were randomized. Over the next 52 weeks, weight change from randomization was −5.5% with continued tirzepatide and +14.0% after switching to placebo; adjusted difference −19.4 percentage points (95% CI −21.2 to −17.7).
  • During the SURMOUNT-4 randomized phase and safety follow-up, serious adverse events occurred in 10 of 335 participants in each group. Adverse-event discontinuation was 1.8% with continued tirzepatide and 0.9% with placebo.
  • Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Limitations

  • The percentage reference is body weight at week 36, not initial week-zero weight.
  • The randomized population was selected after reaching a tolerated dose: 670 of 783 lead-in enrollees.
  • A 14% increase relative to week-36 weight does not mean regaining 14% of the weight previously lost.
  • This does not evaluate gradual tapering, other maintenance strategies or individual treatment decisions.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
Consulted
Official trial registry consulted
Yes
Statistical analysis plan consulted
No
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the specific fields and sources consulted; it is not a full systematic appraisal or GRADE rating.

Source record

Continued Treatment With Tirzepatide for Maintenance of Weight Reduction in Adults With Obesity: The SURMOUNT-4 Randomized Clinical Trial (2024). JAMA.

Controlled study

SURMOUNT-5: weight change at 72 weeks

In SURMOUNT-5, adjusted mean weight change at 72 weeks was −20.2% with tirzepatide and −13.7% with semaglutide; the reported difference was −6.5 percentage points (95% CI −8.1 to −4.9).

SURMOUNT-5 had 751 randomized participants, 750 who received at least one dose and 636 evaluable participants in the registered primary outcome; these counts describe different sets.

In the SURMOUNT-5 registry, 18 of 374 tirzepatide-treated participants and 13 of 376 semaglutide-treated participants had serious adverse events during the registered 72-week window.

Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Evidence design
Randomized comparison
Population
Adults aged at least 18 years with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or BMI >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related comorbidity, without type 2 diabetes. Both arms received diet and physical-activity intervention.
Assessment period
Baseline to week 72
Reported units
percentage points; participants; % change

Keep in view

  • Open-label trial in adults without type 2 diabetes; group averages do not predict an individual's response.
  • 751 randomized, 750 treated/mITT and 636 evaluable in the registered outcome are different denominators.
  • Verification used the original abstract, registry and SAP; the full NEJM article was not accessed.
See study details — SURMOUNT-5

Study design and methods

Randomized comparison

Randomized, open-label, active-controlled superiority trial; allocation 1:1; 72 weeks; phase 3b.

Population

Adults aged at least 18 years with BMI >=30 kg/m2, or BMI >=27 kg/m2 with at least one weight-related comorbidity, without type 2 diabetes. Both arms received diet and physical-activity intervention.

Outcome definition
Percent change in body weight from baseline to week 72
Assessment period
Value
72
Unit
weeks
Reported statistic
least-squares mean
Unit
% change from baseline
Randomized participants
751
Modified intention-to-treat participants
750
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
modified treatment-regimen estimand
Primary estimand
Yes
Analysis population
Modified intention-to-treat: all randomized participants exposed to at least one dose, analyzed as randomized. FAS contains treatment-period data from mITT with the exclusions below.
Treatment discontinuation
Included regardless of discontinuation for any reason.
Other weight-management medication
Included except nonstudy crossover to the randomized comparator drug.
Nonstudy comparator crossover
Data after nonstudy tirzepatide in the semaglutide arm or nonstudy semaglutide in the tirzepatide arm excluded; missing week-72 values after early discontinuation are addressed by within-arm multiple imputation using observed post-discontinuation outcomes.
Bariatric or other weight-loss procedures
Post-procedure data excluded; missing body weight imputed using the worst/highest pre-procedure value from baseline onward.
Other missing data
SAP says sporadic missing week-72 data for other reasons unrelated to early discontinuation or procedures are not imputed.
Analysis method
ANCOVA with treatment, sex, BMI category, baseline prediabetes and baseline body weight; Rubin combination for multiple imputations.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand assumes continuation of assigned treatment without other anti-obesity therapies and is analyzed with MMRM in EAS; do not attach that estimand to these primary estimates.
Denominator distinctions
751 randomized (375/376); 750 received >=1 dose (374/376). ClinicalTrials.gov separately reports 636 evaluable participants for this primary outcome (318/318), with LS means and SE 0.59 in each arm. The 636 registry outcome denominator is not the randomized or safety population. It must not replace 750 as the mITT/FAS parent population or imply a complete-case-only analysis. Study completers are separately 319/319.

Extracted outcomes

Reported values, analysis populations and uncertainty, preserved from the curated extraction.
Outcome and groupReported valueAssessment periodSample and denominatorsUncertainty
Percent change in body weight

Tirzepatide

Effect estimate

-20.2 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 374 — modified intention-to-treat parent population

  • 751 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 375 — randomized group; scope: Tirzepatide
  • 374 — received at least one dose; scope: Tirzepatide
  • 318 — registry outcome evaluable; scope: Tirzepatide

95% confidence interval: -21.4 to -19.1

Percent change in body weight

Semaglutide

Effect estimate

-13.7 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 376 — modified intention-to-treat parent population

  • 751 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 376 — randomized group; scope: Semaglutide
  • 376 — received at least one dose; scope: Semaglutide
  • 318 — registry outcome evaluable; scope: Semaglutide

95% confidence interval: -14.9 to -12.6

Percent change in body weight

Tirzepatide minus semaglutide

Effect estimate

-6.5 percentage points

adjusted mean difference

Unit: percentage points

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 750 — combined modified intention-to-treat parent population

  • 751 — randomized total; scope: entire trial
  • 750 — modified intention-to-treat total; scope: entire trial
  • 636 — registry outcome-evaluable total; scope: primary registry outcome

95% confidence interval: -8.1 to -4.9

Reported p-value: <0.001 (Between-group comparison)

Participants with a serious adverse event

Tirzepatide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

18 participants

event count

Exact numerator: 18

Unit: participants

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 374 — safety analysis population

  • 374 — safety group; scope: Tirzepatide

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Participants with a serious adverse event

Semaglutide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

13 participants

event count

Exact numerator: 13

Unit: participants

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 376 — safety analysis population

  • 376 — safety group; scope: Semaglutide

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Deaths

Tirzepatide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

0 participants

event count

Exact numerator: 0

Unit: participants

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 374 — safety analysis population

  • 374 — safety group; scope: Tirzepatide

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Deaths

Semaglutide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

0 participants

event count

Exact numerator: 0

Unit: participants

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 376 — safety analysis population

  • 376 — safety group; scope: Semaglutide

Confidence interval for this event was not verified; descriptive count or percentage.

Percent change in body weight — Tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
modified treatment-regimen estimand
Primary estimand
Yes
Analysis population
Modified intention-to-treat: all randomized participants exposed to at least one dose, analyzed as randomized. FAS contains treatment-period data from mITT with the exclusions below.
Treatment discontinuation
Included regardless of discontinuation for any reason.
Other weight-management medication
Included except nonstudy crossover to the randomized comparator drug.
Nonstudy comparator crossover
Data after nonstudy tirzepatide in the semaglutide arm or nonstudy semaglutide in the tirzepatide arm excluded; missing week-72 values after early discontinuation are addressed by within-arm multiple imputation using observed post-discontinuation outcomes.
Bariatric or other weight-loss procedures
Post-procedure data excluded; missing body weight imputed using the worst/highest pre-procedure value from baseline onward.
Other missing data
SAP says sporadic missing week-72 data for other reasons unrelated to early discontinuation or procedures are not imputed.
Analysis method
ANCOVA with treatment, sex, BMI category, baseline prediabetes and baseline body weight; Rubin combination for multiple imputations.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand assumes continuation of assigned treatment without other anti-obesity therapies and is analyzed with MMRM in EAS; do not attach that estimand to these primary estimates.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Semaglutide: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
baseline_body_weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
modified treatment-regimen estimand
Primary estimand
Yes
Analysis population
Modified intention-to-treat: all randomized participants exposed to at least one dose, analyzed as randomized. FAS contains treatment-period data from mITT with the exclusions below.
Treatment discontinuation
Included regardless of discontinuation for any reason.
Other weight-management medication
Included except nonstudy crossover to the randomized comparator drug.
Nonstudy comparator crossover
Data after nonstudy tirzepatide in the semaglutide arm or nonstudy semaglutide in the tirzepatide arm excluded; missing week-72 values after early discontinuation are addressed by within-arm multiple imputation using observed post-discontinuation outcomes.
Bariatric or other weight-loss procedures
Post-procedure data excluded; missing body weight imputed using the worst/highest pre-procedure value from baseline onward.
Other missing data
SAP says sporadic missing week-72 data for other reasons unrelated to early discontinuation or procedures are not imputed.
Analysis method
ANCOVA with treatment, sex, BMI category, baseline prediabetes and baseline body weight; Rubin combination for multiple imputations.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand assumes continuation of assigned treatment without other anti-obesity therapies and is analyzed with MMRM in EAS; do not attach that estimand to these primary estimates.
Extraction location
Original article abstract; arm sample sizes cross-checked against registry participant flow
Percent change in body weight — Tirzepatide minus semaglutide: extraction context
Outcome role
Not specified in the consulted scope
Scale reference
Difference in percent change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
modified treatment-regimen estimand
Primary estimand
Yes
Analysis population
Modified intention-to-treat: all randomized participants exposed to at least one dose, analyzed as randomized. FAS contains treatment-period data from mITT with the exclusions below.
Treatment discontinuation
Included regardless of discontinuation for any reason.
Other weight-management medication
Included except nonstudy crossover to the randomized comparator drug.
Nonstudy comparator crossover
Data after nonstudy tirzepatide in the semaglutide arm or nonstudy semaglutide in the tirzepatide arm excluded; missing week-72 values after early discontinuation are addressed by within-arm multiple imputation using observed post-discontinuation outcomes.
Bariatric or other weight-loss procedures
Post-procedure data excluded; missing body weight imputed using the worst/highest pre-procedure value from baseline onward.
Other missing data
SAP says sporadic missing week-72 data for other reasons unrelated to early discontinuation or procedures are not imputed.
Analysis method
ANCOVA with treatment, sex, BMI category, baseline prediabetes and baseline body weight; Rubin combination for multiple imputations.
Secondary estimand distinction
Efficacy estimand assumes continuation of assigned treatment without other anti-obesity therapies and is analyzed with MMRM in EAS; do not attach that estimand to these primary estimates.
Extraction location
Published comparison; SURMOUNT-5 contrast CI verified in official registry
  • Reported difference; not recomputed from rounded arm means.
Participants with a serious adverse event — Tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
ClinicalTrials.gov adverseEventsModule.eventGroups; baseline through week 72
  • Descriptive safety result; no inference of comparative safety superiority.
Participants with a serious adverse event — Semaglutide: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
ClinicalTrials.gov adverseEventsModule.eventGroups; baseline through week 72
  • Descriptive safety result; no inference of comparative safety superiority.
Deaths — Tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
ClinicalTrials.gov adverseEventsModule.eventGroups; baseline through week 72
  • Descriptive safety result; no inference of comparative safety superiority.
Deaths — Semaglutide: extraction context
Outcome role
Descriptive safety outcome
Extraction location
ClinicalTrials.gov adverseEventsModule.eventGroups; baseline through week 72
  • Descriptive safety result; no inference of comparative safety superiority.

What the curated evidence supports

  • In SURMOUNT-5, adjusted mean weight change at 72 weeks was −20.2% with tirzepatide and −13.7% with semaglutide; the reported difference was −6.5 percentage points (95% CI −8.1 to −4.9).
  • SURMOUNT-5 had 751 randomized participants, 750 who received at least one dose and 636 evaluable participants in the registered primary outcome; these counts describe different sets.
  • In the SURMOUNT-5 registry, 18 of 374 tirzepatide-treated participants and 13 of 376 semaglutide-treated participants had serious adverse events during the registered 72-week window.
  • Weight results during 68 or 72 treatment weeks and a two-week sleep intervention answer different questions from a withdrawal comparison after initial treatment. SURMOUNT-4 provides that specific comparison for 52 weeks after randomization.

Limitations

  • Open-label trial in adults without type 2 diabetes; group averages do not predict an individual's response.
  • 751 randomized, 750 treated/mITT and 636 evaluable in the registered outcome are different denominators.
  • Verification used the original abstract, registry and SAP; the full NEJM article was not accessed.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
Not consulted
Official trial registry consulted
Yes
Statistical analysis plan consulted
Yes
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the specific fields and sources consulted; it is not a full systematic appraisal or GRADE rating.

Source record

Tirzepatide as Compared with Semaglutide for the Treatment of Obesity (2025). The New England journal of medicine.

THE RESEARCH LANDSCAPE

Explore the research landscape

See the scale of the consolidated catalog, the prioritized registry cohort, and the smaller set of evidence cards published in this release.

46,042

Consolidated research records

112,151

Mapped files

16

Scientific catalog areas

Explore all 16 scientific areas
Clinical obesity and overweight14,981
GLP-1, GIP and incretin medicines2,081
Insulin resistance and glycemic health6,298
Calorie deficit and energy balance580
Thermogenesis and energy expenditure461
Fat oxidation and ketosis74
Intermittent fasting and chrononutrition621
Nutrition, eating and satiety5,932
Muscle preservation and body composition3,735
Gut microbiome and metabolomics607
Physical activity and exercise3,696
Sleep, stress and eating behavior1,358
Weight maintenance and regain164
Bariatric and metabolic surgery2,383
Digital technologies and remote interventions585
Cardiovascular, liver and inflammatory outcomes2,486

Catalog identities consolidate DOI, NCT, PMID, PMCID and normalized titles; the count is not a certified count of independent peer-reviewed publications.

Prioritized clinical registry records

570 records
Weight as a primary outcome
342
BMI as a primary outcome
112
Adiposity or waist as a primary outcome
49
Weight-related outcomes only as secondary outcomes
29
No direct weight-related outcome identified
38

Each record has one principal outcome class. This classification does not mean that a trial has only one outcome or that its findings have passed full scientific appraisal.

PUBLISHED CURATED EVIDENCE

13evidence cards

Directed selection of sources and claims verified within the fields and sections actually consulted.

60 result records23 reviewed claims
Search covers these 13 published evidence cards.

Catalog size and metadata completeness do not grade scientific certainty. The 570-record panorama describes a prioritized registry cohort, not 570 publicly reviewed evidence cards.

THE INAUGURAL BRIEFING

Video in preparation

Muscle, Strength & Weight Loss: What Does DXA Measure?

Planned inaugural nuViteo YouTube briefing on DXA lean mass, skeletal muscle, and strength, using the same SURMOUNT-1 substudy and EWGSOP2 evidence as the conceptual guide sample.

Read the briefing outline

OVERVIEW + STUDY DETAILS

Sources supporting the briefing.

Start with the finding and its limits.
Open the study details to look closer.

Conceptual consensus

EWGSOP2: sarcopenia definition and assessment

In this analysis, DXA lean mass is fat-free mass minus bone mineral content. It includes tissues other than muscle and, alone, does not describe strength or diagnose sarcopenia.

Under EWGSOP2, low strength indicates probable sarcopenia; low muscle quantity or quality confirms the diagnosis, and low physical performance together with the other criteria identifies severe sarcopenia.

Evidence design
Diagnostic consensus concept

Keep in view

  • Diagnostic consensus; it does not estimate a treatment effect or individual risk.
  • A decrease in total DXA lean mass alone does not diagnose sarcopenia.
See study details — EWGSOP2

Definitions and assessment framework

Diagnostic consensus concept

Expert consensus updating the European definition and diagnostic approach to sarcopenia; not an intervention trial.

Diagnostic concepts
  • Diagnostic state
    Probable sarcopenia
    Definition
    Low muscle strength identifies probable sarcopenia.
  • Diagnostic state
    Confirmed sarcopenia
    Definition
    Low muscle quantity or quality confirms the diagnosis in the presence of low strength.
  • Diagnostic state
    Severe sarcopenia
    Definition
    Low strength, low muscle quantity/quality and low physical performance together identify severe sarcopenia.
Assessment sequence
  • Find cases
  • Assess muscle strength
  • Confirm muscle quantity or quality
  • Determine severity with physical performance

What the curated evidence supports

  • In this analysis, DXA lean mass is fat-free mass minus bone mineral content. It includes tissues other than muscle and, alone, does not describe strength or diagnose sarcopenia.
  • Under EWGSOP2, low strength indicates probable sarcopenia; low muscle quantity or quality confirms the diagnosis, and low physical performance together with the other criteria identifies severe sarcopenia.

Limitations

  • Diagnostic consensus; it does not estimate a treatment effect or individual risk.
  • A decrease in total DXA lean mass alone does not diagnose sarcopenia.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
Consulted
Official trial registry consulted
No
Statistical analysis plan consulted
No
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the specific fields and sources consulted; it is not a full systematic appraisal or GRADE rating.

Source record

Sarcopenia: revised European consensus on definition and diagnosis (2019). Age and ageing.

Controlled study

SURMOUNT-1 DXA: weight, fat and lean soft tissue at 72 weeks

The DXA substudy analyzed 160 participants: 124 receiving pooled tirzepatide doses and 36 receiving placebo. At 72 weeks, changes in weight, fat and lean mass were −21.3%, −33.9% and −10.9% with tirzepatide, versus −5.3%, −8.2% and −2.6% with placebo.

In this analysis, DXA lean mass is fat-free mass minus bone mineral content. It includes tissues other than muscle and, alone, does not describe strength or diagnose sarcopenia.

The article describes roughly three quarters of combined fat and lean mass losses as fat. This sample-level composition does not justify saying that one quarter of lost weight was skeletal muscle.

Evidence design
Randomized trial substudy
Population
Subset of SURMOUNT-1 adults with obesity or overweight and a weight-related complication, without type 2 diabetes; 73.1% female; mean age 46.2 years, weight 102.5 kg and BMI 38.0 kg/m2.
Assessment period
Baseline to week 72
Reported units
percentage points; % change; % of combined fat and lean mass loss; kg

Keep in view

  • 160 of 255 substudy enrollees were analyzed; 5, 10 and 15 mg doses were pooled.
  • DXA lean mass does not directly measure skeletal muscle or strength.
  • There was no multiplicity adjustment; missing data from three participants used last observation carried forward.
See study details — SURMOUNT-1 DXA

Study design and methods

Randomized trial substudy

Prespecified DXA body-composition substudy nested within randomized SURMOUNT-1; pooled tirzepatide doses; additional post hoc subgroup analyses.

Population

Subset of SURMOUNT-1 adults with obesity or overweight and a weight-related complication, without type 2 diabetes; 73.1% female; mean age 46.2 years, weight 102.5 kg and BMI 38.0 kg/m2.

Assessment period
Value
72
Unit
weeks
Parent trial randomized participants
2539
Substudy enrollees
255
Substudy analyzed participants
160
Analyzed participants by arm
Tirzepatide, pooled doses
124
Placebo
36
Analysis denominator basis
Participants in the substudy who were randomized, received >=1 dose and had nonmissing baseline and postbaseline DXA measurements. Of 255 enrolled, 160 completed baseline and week-72 or early-discontinuation scans and were included.
Dose pooling
5, 10 and 15 mg tirzepatide pooled; these results cannot be relabeled as a 15-mg-only effect.
Measurement definition
Measurement method
Whole-body dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA)
Measurement timing
Baseline before first dose and end of treatment at week 72 (within 14 days) or early discontinuation.
DXA lean mass definition
DXA lean mass = fat-free mass minus total bone mineral content. It is lean soft tissue, not a direct skeletal-muscle measurement.
Fat-free mass definition
Includes nonfat tissues such as muscle, bone, organs, ligaments, tendons and water; fat-free mass itself was not the reported endpoint.
Skeletal muscle measured directly
No
Direct strength or physical-performance outcome in this card
No
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes

Extracted outcomes

Reported values, analysis populations and uncertainty, preserved from the curated extraction.
Outcome and groupReported valueAssessment periodSample and denominatorsUncertainty
Percent change in body weight

Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg

Effect estimate

-21.3 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 124 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 124 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Tirzepatide, pooled doses

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in body weight

Placebo

Effect estimate

-5.3 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 36 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 36 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Placebo

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in body weight

Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo

Effect estimate

-16 percentage points

adjusted mean difference

Unit: percentage points

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 160 — combined substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

95% confidence interval: -19.4 to -12.6

Reported p-value: <0.001 (between group comparison no multiplicity adjustment)

Percent change in fat mass

Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg

Effect estimate

-33.9 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 124 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 124 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Tirzepatide, pooled doses

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in fat mass

Placebo

Effect estimate

-8.2 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 36 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 36 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Placebo

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in fat mass

Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo

Effect estimate

-25.7 percentage points

adjusted mean difference

Unit: percentage points

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 160 — combined substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

95% confidence interval: -31.4 to -20

Reported p-value: <0.001 (between group comparison no multiplicity adjustment)

Percent change in DXA lean soft tissue mass

Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg

Effect estimate

-10.9 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 124 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 124 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Tirzepatide, pooled doses

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in DXA lean soft tissue mass

Placebo

Effect estimate

-2.6 % change

least-squares mean

Unit: % change

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 36 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 36 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Placebo

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Percent change in DXA lean soft tissue mass

Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo

Effect estimate

-8.3 percentage points

adjusted mean difference

Unit: percentage points

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 160 — combined substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

95% confidence interval: -10.6 to -6.1

Reported p-value: <0.001 (between group comparison no multiplicity adjustment)

Absolute change in fat mass

Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg

Effect estimate

-15.9 kg

least-squares mean

Unit: kg

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 124 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 124 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Tirzepatide, pooled doses

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Absolute change in fat mass

Placebo

Effect estimate

-3.6 kg

least-squares mean

Unit: kg

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 36 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 36 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Placebo

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Absolute change in fat mass

Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo

Effect estimate

-12.3 kg

adjusted mean difference

Unit: kg

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 160 — combined substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

95% confidence interval: -15.1 to -9.6

Reported p-value: <0.001 (between group comparison no multiplicity adjustment)

Absolute change in DXA lean soft tissue mass

Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg

Effect estimate

-5.6 kg

least-squares mean

Unit: kg

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 124 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 124 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Tirzepatide, pooled doses

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Absolute change in DXA lean soft tissue mass

Placebo

Effect estimate

-1.2 kg

least-squares mean

Unit: kg

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 36 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy
  • 36 — substudy analysis arm; scope: Placebo

Arm confidence interval not verified; no reconstruction was performed.

Absolute change in DXA lean soft tissue mass

Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo

Effect estimate

-4.4 kg

adjusted mean difference

Unit: kg

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 160 — combined substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

95% confidence interval: -5.6 to -3.2

Reported p-value: <0.001 (between group comparison no multiplicity adjustment)

Fat fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses

Pooled tirzepatide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

74 % of combined fat and lean mass loss

reported proportion

Unit: % of combined fat and lean mass loss

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 124 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

Confidence interval for the fraction not verified.

Lean soft tissue fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses

Pooled tirzepatide

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

26 % of combined fat and lean mass loss

reported proportion

Unit: % of combined fat and lean mass loss

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 124 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

Confidence interval for the fraction not verified.

Fat fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses

Placebo

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

75 % of combined fat and lean mass loss

reported proportion

Unit: % of combined fat and lean mass loss

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 36 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

Confidence interval for the fraction not verified.

Lean soft tissue fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses

Placebo

Descriptive result; not an effect estimate

25 % of combined fat and lean mass loss

reported proportion

Unit: % of combined fat and lean mass loss

Baseline to week 72

Study weeks 0–72

Reported N: 36 — substudy analysis population

  • 2539 — parent trial randomized total; scope: parent trial
  • 255 — substudy enrolled; scope: DXA substudy
  • 160 — substudy analyzed; scope: DXA substudy

Confidence interval for the fraction not verified.

Percent change in body weight — Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
Exploratory, post hoc
Scale reference
Baseline value of the same tissue or weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
Percent change in body weight — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Exploratory, post hoc
Scale reference
Baseline value of the same tissue or weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
Percent change in body weight — Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Exploratory, post hoc
Scale reference
Difference in percent change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2
  • No multiplicity adjustment.
Percent change in fat mass — Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
primary_substudy_objective
Scale reference
Baseline value of the same tissue or weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
Percent change in fat mass — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
primary_substudy_objective
Scale reference
Baseline value of the same tissue or weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
Percent change in fat mass — Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
primary_substudy_objective
Scale reference
Difference in percent change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2
  • No multiplicity adjustment.
Percent change in DXA lean soft tissue mass — Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
Baseline value of the same tissue or weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
  • Lean mass means lean soft tissue excluding bone mineral content; it is not skeletal muscle mass.
Percent change in DXA lean soft tissue mass — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
Baseline value of the same tissue or weight
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
  • Lean mass means lean soft tissue excluding bone mineral content; it is not skeletal muscle mass.
Percent change in DXA lean soft tissue mass — Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
Difference in percent change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2
  • No multiplicity adjustment.
Absolute change in fat mass — Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
absolute_change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
Absolute change in fat mass — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
absolute_change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
Absolute change in fat mass — Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
absolute_difference
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2
  • No multiplicity adjustment.
Absolute change in DXA lean soft tissue mass — Tirzepatide pooled 5/10/15 mg: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
absolute_change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
  • Lean mass means lean soft tissue excluding bone mineral content; it is not skeletal muscle mass.
Absolute change in DXA lean soft tissue mass — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
absolute_change
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2; Figure 1 or supplementary Figure S2
  • Lean mass means lean soft tissue excluding bone mineral content; it is not skeletal muscle mass.
Absolute change in DXA lean soft tissue mass — Pooled tirzepatide minus placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
secondary
Scale reference
absolute_difference
Estimand and analysis rules
Name
Not reported or not verified
Analysis set
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Definition verification status
Full formal estimand not verified; do not inherit the parent-trial treatment-regimen estimand.
Statistical analysis
Analysis population label in the figure
Modified intention-to-treat population (efficacy analysis set)
Statistical model
ANCOVA for body weight, fat and lean measures: baseline response covariate and treatment factor; waist used MMRM.
Missing-data handling
Three missing week-72 observations imputed by last observation carried forward.
Multiplicity adjustment
No
Formal estimand specification
Efficacy analysis set; a separate, fully specified five-attribute estimand was not verified in the substudy full text.
Parent-trial estimand must not be inherited without qualification
Yes
Extraction location
Full text section 3.2
  • No multiplicity adjustment.
Fat fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses — Pooled tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Exploratory, post hoc
Scale reference
fat_loss_plus_lean_mass_loss
Extraction location
Full text Table 1 formula and section 3.2
  • Fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses; not a skeletal-muscle fraction or an individual prediction.
Lean soft tissue fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses — Pooled tirzepatide: extraction context
Outcome role
Exploratory, post hoc
Scale reference
fat_loss_plus_lean_mass_loss
Extraction location
Full text Table 1 formula and section 3.2
  • Fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses; not a skeletal-muscle fraction or an individual prediction.
Fat fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Exploratory, post hoc
Scale reference
fat_loss_plus_lean_mass_loss
Extraction location
Full text Table 1 formula and section 3.2
  • Fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses; not a skeletal-muscle fraction or an individual prediction.
Lean soft tissue fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses — Placebo: extraction context
Outcome role
Exploratory, post hoc
Scale reference
fat_loss_plus_lean_mass_loss
Extraction location
Full text Table 1 formula and section 3.2
  • Fraction of combined fat and lean mass losses; not a skeletal-muscle fraction or an individual prediction.

What the curated evidence supports

  • The DXA substudy analyzed 160 participants: 124 receiving pooled tirzepatide doses and 36 receiving placebo. At 72 weeks, changes in weight, fat and lean mass were −21.3%, −33.9% and −10.9% with tirzepatide, versus −5.3%, −8.2% and −2.6% with placebo.
  • In this analysis, DXA lean mass is fat-free mass minus bone mineral content. It includes tissues other than muscle and, alone, does not describe strength or diagnose sarcopenia.
  • The article describes roughly three quarters of combined fat and lean mass losses as fat. This sample-level composition does not justify saying that one quarter of lost weight was skeletal muscle.

Limitations

  • 160 of 255 substudy enrollees were analyzed; 5, 10 and 15 mg doses were pooled.
  • DXA lean mass does not directly measure skeletal muscle or strength.
  • There was no multiplicity adjustment; missing data from three participants used last observation carried forward.

Verification scope

Verified through 2026-11-04 within the consulted scope.

Bibliographic metadata checked
Yes
Original article abstract consulted
Yes
Full-text consultation
Consulted
Official trial registry consulted
Yes
Statistical analysis plan consulted
No
Verification boundary
Verification is limited to the specific fields and sources consulted; it is not a full systematic appraisal or GRADE rating.

Source record

Body composition changes during weight reduction with tirzepatide in the SURMOUNT-1 study of adults with obesity or overweight (2025). Diabetes, obesity & metabolism.